BTC Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path Forward Amid Market Turbulence

#BTC

• Technical indicators show Bitcoin trading below key moving averages with bearish MACD momentum
• Record $19.5 billion liquidations and tariff concerns create short-term market uncertainty
• Long-term fundamentals remain strong with new platform launches and institutional adoption

BTC Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Faces Resistance Amid Bearish Signals

According to BTCC financial analyst Ava, Bitcoin's current price of $113,880 sits below the 20-day moving average of $116,480, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The MACD reading of -4,292 shows continued downward momentum, while the price trading NEAR the middle Bollinger Band suggests consolidation. However, Ava notes that the proximity to the lower band at $105,846 could provide support if selling pressure continues.

Market Sentiment: Volatility Dominates Amid Record Liquidations

BTCC financial analyst Ava comments that recent market sentiment has been heavily impacted by the record $19.5 billion liquidation event and tariff-induced sell-off. While headlines highlight whale movements and crash warnings, Ava emphasizes that underlying fundamentals remain resilient. The launch of new trading platforms and institutional product offerings suggests continued long-term confidence in the crypto space despite short-term volatility.

Factors Influencing BTC's Price

Crypto Market Sees Record $19.5 Billion Liquidation Amid Tariff-Induced Sell-Off

The cryptocurrency market endured its most violent liquidation event in history, with $19.5 billion in leveraged positions wiped out within 24 hours. A staggering 1.6 million traders were forcibly exited from positions as Bitcoin swung $20,000 and shed $380 billion in market capitalization—an unprecedented cascade of liquidations surpassing previous records by nearly tenfold.

The sell-off was triggered by sudden US tariff announcements on China, with excessive leverage magnifying the downturn. Data reveals a brutally one-sided market: $16.7 billion of the $19.38 billion total liquidations came from long positions, representing a 6.7-to-1 ratio against shorts. Exchanges from Binance to Bybit saw over 90% of liquidations hammering bullish bets, with Hyperliquid alone recording $10.3 billion in wiped positions.

This event dwarfs all prior liquidation benchmarks—the February 2025 wipeout of $2.2 billion now seems trivial by comparison. The scale of destruction underscores the market's vulnerability to macro shocks when saturated with leverage, rewriting risk calculus for institutional and retail participants alike.

Crypto Markets Witness Historic $19B Liquidation Cascade Amid Trump Tariff Shock

Global cryptocurrency markets experienced their largest leveraged wipeout on record October 10-11, with over $19 billion in positions liquidated. The selloff was triggered by a surprise 100% tariff announcement from former President Donald Trump, compounded by well-timed short positions from major market players.

Bitcoin and altcoins saw weeks of speculative gains erased in minutes as the liquidation domino effect unfolded. Platforms like Hyperliquid recorded $16.7 billion in long position liquidations alone, with 1.6 million traders wiped out during the cascade.

Market analysts question whether this represents a true bottom, noting that many investors remain in profit positions. The absence of full capitulation suggests the market may not have completed its emotional reset cycle.

Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Clash of Titans in 2024

Bitcoin's 30% year-to-date gain pales against gold's surprising 50% surge, defying historical patterns. The digital asset, which has outperformed gold in 9 of the past 12 years, faces an unusual reversal. Gold's resilience shines during crypto winters—posting modest gains when BTC cratered 65% in 2022 and 73% in 2018.

The ETF arena tells a different story. Spot Bitcoin ETFs like iShares Bitcoin Trust have skyrocketed 180% since January 2024, nearly doubling gold ETFs' 97% returns. This divergence highlights crypto's institutional adoption wave, even as gold asserts its safe-haven status during turbulent periods.

Bitcoin Market Crash May Not Have Reached True Bottom, Analyst Warns

Bitcoin's sharp decline to $102,000 following US tariff announcements erased $19.2 billion in positions, marking one of the largest liquidation events in crypto history. The market briefly stabilized NEAR $111,000, but on-chain metrics suggest further downside potential.

CryptoQuant's XWIN Research Japan highlights concerning signals in Bitcoin's Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric. Unlike previous market resets in March 2020 and November 2018 when NUPL dipped below zero, current levels indicate the psychological reset may be incomplete.

OG Bitcoin Whale’s 300 BTC Dump Sparks Market Anxiety Amid $70K Crash Warning

Bitcoin faces intensified selling pressure as a long-dormant whale, known as "Bitcoin OG," deposited 300 BTC (worth $33.47 million) to Binance. The MOVE follows a 10% market plunge on October 11, 2025, triggered by geopolitical tensions and $5 billion in liquidations. Traders now question whether the $110,000 support level can hold.

The whale originally acquired 749 BTC from Mt. Gox in 2012 at $11 per token. While 159 BTC were moved to a new wallet last year, this marks the first major sell-off in over a decade. bitcoin currently trades at $111,390, barely above its critical $110,201 support.

Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Falters as Price Retreats from All-Time High

Bitcoin's rally toward new highs above $126,000 has abruptly reversed, triggering a sharp correction that has injected fear into the market. The failure to sustain momentum has invalidated breakout expectations, raising concerns of a bearish shift.

The daily chart reveals a decisive rejection from the all-time high zone, compounded by a breakdown below the 100-day moving average. Support now rests at $100,000, where the 200-day moving average and trendline converge. The RSI at 41 suggests further downside risk if buyer interest doesn't materialize soon.

Short-term price action shows Bitcoin clinging to the $110,000 support level—a previous accumulation zone. With the RSI languishing near 32 and $117,000 acting as flipped resistance, another leg down toward $105,000 appears increasingly likely.

Bitcoin Price Set for Weekday Bounce Back

Bitcoin ($BTC) is poised for a rebound as market pressures ease, with analysts anticipating a short-term recovery. Crypto Dan notes the cryptocurrency remains within key thresholds, suggesting limited downside risk. The absence of new bearish catalysts reinforces the potential for a weekday rally.

Market stabilization has created favorable conditions for Bitcoin's resurgence. While short-term direction remains uncertain, technical indicators point to diminishing selling pressure. The asset's ability to hold critical support levels signals resilience among traders.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Onchain Signals Point to Resilient Fundamentals Amid Volatility

Bitcoin hovers near $111,700 after a 16% correction, yet ARK Invest's Q3 2025 report reveals underlying strength. The cryptocurrency closed the quarter above its short-term holder cost basis at $114,065—a historically bullish signal.

Network metrics underscore robustness: mining difficulty surged 21.7% quarterly and 61% annually to 611 EH/s, while daily miner revenue climbed 6.3% to $52.4 million. Transaction volume jumped 27.8% quarter-on-quarter, with illiquid supply growing 4.6% year-over-year to 14.3 million BTC—evidence of unwavering holder conviction.

Despite price fluctuations, 94.5% of BTC supply remains profitable. Institutional participation and macroeconomic tailwinds suggest potential upside through year-end.

Cryptocurrency Stocks Surge Amid Bitcoin's Rally

October has ushered in strong gains for cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin (BTC) climbing 7% month-to-date and 10% over the past 30 days. Market observers attribute the rally to heightened demand for alternative assets during the U.S. government shutdown, positioning crypto alongside gold as a potential SAFE haven.

Bullish (BLSH) leads the charge among crypto-linked equities, soaring 35% after launching institutional trading services and securing a banking partnership with Deutsche Bank. Meanwhile, MARA Holdings (MARA) has gained 30% as its Bitcoin mining operations expand, leveraging renewable energy and diversifying into AI infrastructure.

The outperformance of these stocks highlights how Leveraged plays on Bitcoin's momentum can eclipse the flagship cryptocurrency's returns. Yet the sector remains volatile—corporate treasury strategies and mining operations amplify both upside and risk.

Bisq Easy Launches Android Beta for Decentralized Bitcoin Trading

Bisq Easy has rolled out its first public Beta for Android, version 0.1.1, bringing decentralized peer-to-peer Bitcoin trading to mobile users. The app, available via APK and the Google Play Store, leverages Tor for privacy and supports multiple languages. Built on the Bisq 2 Java library, the beta ensures full protocol compatibility, though sellers are advised that backup-and-restore functionality remains incomplete.

The launch marks a significant step in expanding access to non-custodial Bitcoin trading, emphasizing accessibility and security for retail participants. With notifications and multilingual support, Bisq Easy lowers barriers to entry in the P2P markets—a growing niche as regulatory scrutiny intensifies on centralized exchanges.

Hargreaves Lansdown Cautions Against Bitcoin as Core Portfolio Asset Despite Offering Crypto Products

Hargreaves Lansdown, one of the UK's largest retail investment platforms, has issued a stark warning about Bitcoin's role in investment portfolios. The Bristol-based firm asserts that Bitcoin 'is not an asset class' and lacks the intrinsic characteristics to justify inclusion as a Core holding for growth or income.

The caution comes as the platform prepares to offer cryptocurrency products for the first time, following the Financial Conduct Authority's lifting of its four-year ban on crypto exchange-traded notes for retail investors. Hargreaves Lansdown emphasized Bitcoin's history of 'extreme losses' and the impossibility of reliable performance analysis.

The firm plans to implement a gradual rollout with strict safeguards, including detailed risk warnings and appropriateness assessments. Under FCA rules, qualifying clients will face a 10% portfolio cap on crypto exposure.

How High Will BTC Price Go?

Based on current technical indicators and market sentiment, BTCC financial analyst Ava provides this assessment:

Ava suggests that while short-term pressure exists, a rebound toward the $127,000 upper Bollinger Band is possible once the current liquidation cascade subsides and market sentiment stabilizes.